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Growers urged to release grain stocks

28 Nov, 2008 05:00 AM
GROWERS should not be banking on grain prices rising any time soon, according to ABB managing director Michael Iwaniw.

Speaking at the company's full-year results briefing in Adelaide on Tuesday, Mr Iwaniw said buyers remained cautious.

A number of growers had chosen to hold onto their grain this season, either on-farm or through the warehouse system - rather than sell their grain straight away - in the hope prices would rise.

"Saudi buyers were falling over themselves this time last year to buy grain," Mr Iwaniw said. "Now they're only coming into the market when they really need it.

"The main reduction in price has been in barley. This time last year the landed Saudi price was US$460/t and this year it;s US$150/t." But, during the same period, freight had gone from $120/t, to $25/t, which is helping prices along.

"The concern is, there is still a big crop, with a lot of grain in the northern hemisphere," he said.

"Barley is usually a good indicator of where prices are going to go.

"Once the WA crop (which is forecast to be large) comes onto the market we could see a further price reduction."

Mr Iwaniw said this time last year the eyes of the world were on the Australian crop, driving up prices.

"It's now very hard to argue that we'll see increased grain prices," he said.

"Wheat prices, like barley, have fallen considerably and the price is now levelling off. I'd prices will either stay the same or come back a bit."

But because quality had been the major issue this season, Mr iwaniw said the high quality could attract some premiums. The extremely dry spring had meant much of the wheat brought into the system so far is 'skinny' or low weight wheat.

So far, only a third of the barley brought in to the system in SA has been Feed - the lowest on record.

* Extract from a full report in Stock Journal, November 27 issue.

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Mr Iwaniw, I would be careful what you say to farmers from drought-strickened (and it is drought, not 'dryness') areas at this point in time. Really, the farmer has nothing to lose if they do keep or warehouse it, although you do have a point with the lower grades. The cost of warehouseing might end up at the same price as the price for selling it! As one grain marketer has told me already, "farmers have to toughen up!" and stand up to what is happening. Don't be scared of selling your grain through someone else! There are some companies out there that are just as reputable, if not more so, than ABB and AWB! And do it when marketers other than ABB and AWB seem to think it's right. I suppose that the next thing ABB will have the rights on will be the rain or do they have that already???
Posted by Esme, 28/11/2008 8:49:52 AM

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