News 
 National Rural News 
 Agribusiness and General 
 General 
 'Rudd’s carbon tax bad governance,' says Vic ag ... 

'Rudd’s carbon tax bad governance,' says Vic ag scientist

15/08/2008 4:42:00 PM
The Rudd government’s carbon pollution tax is based on non-scientific and theoretical computer modeling and does not make good governance at a time of rising inflation, global food shortages and increasing export uncompetitiveness due to rising cost and freight pressures.

That’s the view of agricultural scientist John Williams - a researcher, author and educator who is studying for a PhD at the University of Melbourne.

Mr Williams said there are ‘strong and powerful counter-arguments’ to the theories on global warming and carbon trading that are not being fully considered.

Drawing on a chorus of disbelief from a growing number of scientists, Mr Williams said “there is no proof that carbon dioxide is causing or precedes global warming”.

“All indications are that the minor warming cycle finished in 2001 and that Arctic ice melting is related to cyclical orbit-tilt-axis changes in earth’s angle to the sun.”

Yet in the government’s pursuit of a carbon trading scheme, Mr Williams said there was likely to be economic distortion, higher costs, investment disincentives and taxpayer-funded subsidies.

He says any carbon trading scheme is likely to have a heavy impact on agriculture by:

• Causing economic distortions, such as favouring imports over export industries (despite huge government subsidies to exporters which will attract World Trade Organisation [WTO] attention).

• Penalising resource industries (and Australia’s comparative advantage).

• Compensating road transport, thereby discriminating against less-polluting rail transport.

• Replacing highly productive cropping farmland in high-rainfall zones with tree plantations, reducing cropping agriculture and confining it to the less fertile lower-rainfall areas at a time of global food shortages and rising food prices.

• Discriminating against animal industries which comprise one of the most successful Australian export industries.

• Discriminating between farmers based on soil type.

• Discriminating against consumers, who will bear the brunt of the costs through higher energy and food costs.

Mr Williams says the likely outcome of these economic distortions will be:

• Increasing export uncompetitiveness at a time of record global shipping freight rates.

• A worsening trade deficit which will necessitate persistent high interest rates to attract balancing foreign capital inflows.

• Reduced investment in energy and rail industries.

• Coal demand decreasing, which will lower prices and provide signals to buyers that the resource boom may be over;

• Depressing rural communities even further, as long-term tree investment cannot replace short-term crop revenue cash-flows; and

• Increasing cost pressures boosting prices and inflation for consumers already encountering economic difficulties.

He says shifting animals from pasture to higher protein feeds will exacerbate food shortages and higher prices.

“As more than 80pc of Australian exports are price-taking commodities, any carbon emissions cost is going to be borne by the domestic producer and exporter, and require large compensation under any carbon trading scheme,” Mr Williams said.

“This compensation will be seen as a producer subsidy under WTO guidelines at a time when Australia is supposed to be leading by good example in freer trade for the rest of the world.”

He said governments worldwide had spent $50 billion on global warming research since 1990, with no evidence that carbon emissions caused global warming.

“All this cost is borne by taxpayers yet where exactly are the benefits beyond normal pollution control regulations?”

He also questioned what incentive there was for farmers to increase organic carbon in the soil, only to sell it off as carbon credits and become managers of it for someone else.

And he asked what would happen if soil carbon levels dropped due to drought, fire, flood or crop rotations.

“Farmers could be forced into bankruptcy by having to refund money they do not have.”

He said increased rural land values caused by demand from industries seeking carbon credits through forestation programs was only going to distract farmers from producing food, cause uncertainty in investment decisions and entice them to seek short-term property sale benefits.

Rural towns would also struggle from a lack of money (from reduced production revenues) and decreased investment at a time when farms are being replaced by long-term forests.

“To introduce a new high-cost system based on fear and feeding off superstition does not make good fiscal governance when there are serious economic distortions, measurement difficulties, investment disincentives, potential carbon market liquidity problems and a low probability of achieving any benefits in energy reduction or environment improvement,” Mr Williams said.

“Without a similar cost scheme for Australia’s major export competitors, the outcome could be economic suicide for exporters in terms of loss of international competitiveness.”

Print
Increase Text Size
Decrease Text Size
Page:
1


Comments


Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Surely before 2010 the truth will prevail. With so much public hysteria being promoted by governments one has to suspect a hidden agenda in this campaign.

This is political science, not real science. Here in Australia it was the Hawke government which put their political scientists in charge of the real scientists, e.g. Neville Wran in charge of the CSIRO.

This whole campaign reminds me of Hawke's promotion of Alan Bond. Every prudent businessman knew that the way our economy was following the Bond model would bust the system. That bust came in 1987, but failed to completely destroy the system because prudence prevailed after the bust.

Every prudent businessman knows that this proposed carbon trading scheme will bust the system. So why does our government promote it?

It appears very much that our government wants to bust the system. For what purpose? The bookworms call it redistribution of wealth. Here their method is to first destroy the wealth.

Posted by Ted O'Brien on 15/08/2008 9:08:01 PM
For an agricultural scientist, Mr Williams seems to be authoritative in several sciences, economics, political science, mining economics and futures, meteorology and climate sciences. And now he is going for his PhD in ag science. I wonder when his 150th birthday is? I'll send him a birthday card.
Posted by Trugger on 15/08/2008 9:23:23 PM
I absolutely agree with Mr Williams. I listen to all this talk about climate change or what was called global warming and our seasons here have not changed one iota. Surely if the changing of the climate is as catastrophic as thr Rudd government wants us to believe there would have been at least some small change here. Despite all the talk of warming this winter has definitely been on the colder side of average, but nothing out of the usual. It is tough enough to make money out of agriculture and Rudd is going to destroy what is left.
Posted by Rusty on 16/08/2008 5:46:11 PM
Studying for a PhD? Gimme a break....any scientist purely concerned with inflationary pressures and resource booms isn't an actual scientist.

Hence any statements from this alleged expert regarding CO2 emissions and climate change is inescapably suspect.

Posted by Anthony Lewis on 17/08/2008 7:35:45 PM
Of course there's always a chance all those scientist are right. Climate change doesn't kick in in just one season, or even 10 years, but then in 50 years we really hit the crunch and it's too late.

The other point is why do we have to be in such a rip tearing hurry to dig up and burn all that coal.

Just maybe our great grand children in 100 years will wonder why on earth we didn't leave anything for the other than some big holes in the ground

Posted by pete on 17/08/2008 10:03:43 PM
I think Anthony Lewis and Trugger are right in suspecting the credibility of this man. Since when has climatology been a major subject for a graduate degree in agricultural science?

This man is attempting to comment outside his field of expertise and all of his statements become opinions only, and not verifiable matters of fact. He has no credibility in any field where he has not actively studied and researched.

He has not cited any scientific studies to back up his opinions. Who are the scientists in the"Chorus of Disbelief", Mr Williams?

Are they climatologists or people like you who have no association, training, or knowledge of the field and are just expressing opinions like you are?


Posted by Sally on 18/08/2008 6:37:20 AM
Is this article a hoax? Is Rural Press playing an outrageous trick on the climate challenged? A PhD student?

Nothing. (Except John Williams - the NSW Commissioner for Natural Resources - he has a real PhD already.) C'mon you guys. 'Fess up. It's a leg pull, surely?

Posted by Michael Kiely on 18/08/2008 7:41:09 AM
It is quite interesting that a large part of the population is brainwashed about climate change and as a result are incapable of looking at or even acknowledging the other side of the argument, that it may be a natural cycle.

As they say, big business loves climate change as there are bucket loads of money to be made from it! Look at Toyota, Rudd hands over millions for a product that is already developed, which is questionable anyway, as you can purchase conventional cars with the same fuel economy for a third of the price.

How much greenhouse gas is produced in making hybrid cars with all the extra electronics and batteries as compared to a conventional car?

We will pay dearly in the future for the current hysteria.

Posted by jerangle on 18/08/2008 8:14:35 AM
I wonder if the Stock and Land give any of their space to the flat earthers, or the ones that think the moon landing was set-up, or the.......the list goes on......... and it includes John Williams.
Posted by Jimmy on 18/08/2008 9:38:41 AM
This reflects the increasing uncertainty about climate change science and the hugh risks being taken with our economy - risks no other country is foolish enough to take.

The nation should stand back and take a deep breath and a good look at what it seems to be being committed to before it makes a hugh mistake.

It is better to admit the possibility of mistake than lemming-like stumble collectively over a big cliff.

Posted by observer on 18/08/2008 9:42:17 AM
1 | 2  |  next >

Post A Comment


Screen name  *
Email address  *
Remember me?
Comment  *
We invite and encourage our readers to post comments. Comments are moderated and will appear as soon as our editor has approved them. When posting comments you agree to be bound by our Terms and Conditions.
Don Story, Stock & Land, Vic
Don Story, Stock & Land, Vic
The Murray River bed at Riversdale, near Swan Hill, Vic, was like this at Easter 1915 - a reminder that some of today's drought impacts have been around for more than a century. Click on picture to enlarge it. (Photo courtesy of the McDonald family and Jennifer Marohasy: www.jennifermarohasy.com).
The Murray River bed at Riversdale, near Swan Hill, Vic, was like this at Easter 1915 - a reminder that some of today's drought impacts have been around for more than a century. Click on picture to enlarge it. (Photo courtesy of the McDonald family and Jennifer Marohasy: www.jennifermarohasy.com).

Q: Do you believe the public has a right to know on which farms GM crops are being grown?

Yes
(65.9%)

No
(31.6%)

Undecided
(2.4%)

Total Votes: 613
Poll Date: 17/08/2008
26/11/2008 | If we're serious about roo farming, we'll need to start with a breeding program and kangaroo EBVs for marbling and tenderness.
 
Fuel Offer
 
Subscription
 
Media-Kit-08-09
 
Horse Deals Australia
 SEND...
 SAVE...
 SHARE...